The Mets need a guy who can replace Carlos Delgado in the clean-up or #5 spot. They need thump in the lineup. That thump was obviously missing last year given that they finished last in the MLB in homers. Bay hit 36 homers last year. That is the kind of power the Mets need in the lineup.
Matt Holliday may have a higher average; but per hit, Jason Bay has more extra base hits (Click here for more on this stat). That tells me that he has higher power potential, and that he is more suited to be in the #4 or #5 spot in the lineup.
The Mets also need someone to drive in all the runners they have in scoring position. They had the 7th most at-bats with RISP (1433), and the 6th highest average (.276) in that situation, BUT they had the 15th most RBIs (526). There is something wrong there. They had a 1 to 1 ground ball to fly ball ratio with RISP; the league average was 0.85 to 1 last year, that 0.15 difference makes a huge impact! The Mets can't hit the ball out of the infield! Jason Bay's ratio is 0.51. Holliday, 0.79. I would rather go with Bay there.
Holliday may be a better fielder and strikeout less, but Jason Bay has more power potential, get on base just as much, and gets more RBIs.
That's my case for Bay, what's yours?
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